Trive Property (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0375
0118 Stock | 0.04 0.01 14.29% |
Trive |
Trive Property Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0375
The tendency of Trive Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.04 or more in 90 days |
0.04 | 90 days | 0.04 | about 16.01 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trive Property to drop to 0.04 or more in 90 days from now is about 16.01 (This Trive Property Group probability density function shows the probability of Trive Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Trive Property Group price to stay between 0.04 and its current price of 0.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Trive Property has a beta of 0.41. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Trive Property average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Trive Property Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Trive Property Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Trive Property Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Trive Property
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trive Property Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Trive Property Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trive Property is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trive Property's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trive Property Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trive Property within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.39 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Trive Property Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trive Property for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trive Property Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Trive Property Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Trive Property Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
Trive Property Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Trive Property Technical Analysis
Trive Property's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Trive Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Trive Property Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Trive Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Trive Property Predictive Forecast Models
Trive Property's time-series forecasting models is one of many Trive Property's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Trive Property's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Trive Property Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Trive Property for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Trive Property Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trive Property Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Trive Property Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
Trive Property Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |