OCI Co (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 59,293

010060 Stock   63,600  1,800  2.91%   
OCI Co's future price is the expected price of OCI Co instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of OCI Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out OCI Co Backtesting, OCI Co Valuation, OCI Co Correlation, OCI Co Hype Analysis, OCI Co Volatility, OCI Co History as well as OCI Co Performance.
  
Please specify OCI Co's target price for which you would like OCI Co odds to be computed.

OCI Co Target Price Odds to finish below 59,293

The tendency of OCI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 63,600 90 days 63,600 
about 39.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OCI Co to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 39.63 (This OCI Co probability density function shows the probability of OCI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OCI Co has a beta of -0.33. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding OCI Co are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, OCI Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally OCI Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   OCI Co Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for OCI Co

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OCI Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63,59863,60063,602
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53,50653,50869,960
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as OCI Co. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against OCI Co's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, OCI Co's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in OCI Co.

OCI Co Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OCI Co is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OCI Co's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OCI Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OCI Co within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.33
σ
Overall volatility
4,730
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

OCI Co Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OCI Co for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OCI Co can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OCI Co generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 22.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

OCI Co Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OCI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OCI Co's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OCI Co's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.8 M

OCI Co Technical Analysis

OCI Co's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OCI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OCI Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing OCI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

OCI Co Predictive Forecast Models

OCI Co's time-series forecasting models is one of many OCI Co's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OCI Co's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about OCI Co

Checking the ongoing alerts about OCI Co for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OCI Co help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OCI Co generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 22.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in OCI Stock

OCI Co financial ratios help investors to determine whether OCI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OCI with respect to the benefits of owning OCI Co security.