Fubon 1 (Taiwan) Odds of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 41.73

00694B Etf  TWD 42.17  0.02  0.05%   
Fubon 1's future price is the expected price of Fubon 1 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fubon 1 3 Years performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fubon 1 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fubon 1 Correlation, Fubon 1 Hype Analysis, Fubon 1 Volatility, Fubon 1 History as well as Fubon 1 Performance.
  
Please specify Fubon 1's target price for which you would like Fubon 1 odds to be computed.

Fubon 1 Target Price Odds to finish over 41.73

The tendency of Fubon Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above NT$ 41.73  in 90 days
 42.17 90 days 41.73 
about 48.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fubon 1 to stay above NT$ 41.73  in 90 days from now is about 48.67 (This Fubon 1 3 Years probability density function shows the probability of Fubon Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fubon 1 3 price to stay between NT$ 41.73  and its current price of NT$42.17 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fubon 1 has a beta of 0.0366. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Fubon 1 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fubon 1 3 Years will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fubon 1 3 Years has an alpha of 0.003, implying that it can generate a 0.002998 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fubon 1 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fubon 1

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fubon 1 3. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41.8742.1542.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.7642.0442.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fubon 1. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fubon 1's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fubon 1's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fubon 1 3.

Fubon 1 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fubon 1 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fubon 1's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fubon 1 3 Years, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fubon 1 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.3

Fubon 1 Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fubon Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fubon 1's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fubon 1's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day447.73k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month375.89k

Fubon 1 Technical Analysis

Fubon 1's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fubon Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fubon 1 3 Years. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fubon Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fubon 1 Predictive Forecast Models

Fubon 1's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fubon 1's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fubon 1's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Fubon 1 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Fubon 1's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Fubon 1 options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Fubon Etf

Fubon 1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fubon Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fubon with respect to the benefits of owning Fubon 1 security.