ISU Chemical (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5567.1

005950 Stock   5,960  430.00  7.78%   
ISU Chemical's future price is the expected price of ISU Chemical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ISU Chemical Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ISU Chemical Backtesting, ISU Chemical Valuation, ISU Chemical Correlation, ISU Chemical Hype Analysis, ISU Chemical Volatility, ISU Chemical History as well as ISU Chemical Performance.
  
Please specify ISU Chemical's target price for which you would like ISU Chemical odds to be computed.

ISU Chemical Target Price Odds to finish below 5567.1

The tendency of ISU Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  5,567  or more in 90 days
 5,960 90 days 5,567 
about 1.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ISU Chemical to drop to  5,567  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.13 (This ISU Chemical Co probability density function shows the probability of ISU Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ISU Chemical price to stay between  5,567  and its current price of 5960.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ISU Chemical has a beta of 0.33. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ISU Chemical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ISU Chemical Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ISU Chemical Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ISU Chemical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ISU Chemical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ISU Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,9575,9605,963
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,5645,5676,556
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,6815,6845,687
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5,4065,8276,247
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ISU Chemical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ISU Chemical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ISU Chemical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ISU Chemical.

ISU Chemical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ISU Chemical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ISU Chemical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ISU Chemical Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ISU Chemical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.7
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
972.47
Ir
Information ratio -0.29

ISU Chemical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ISU Chemical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ISU Chemical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ISU Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

ISU Chemical Technical Analysis

ISU Chemical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ISU Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ISU Chemical Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing ISU Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ISU Chemical Predictive Forecast Models

ISU Chemical's time-series forecasting models is one of many ISU Chemical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ISU Chemical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ISU Chemical

Checking the ongoing alerts about ISU Chemical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ISU Chemical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ISU Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in ISU Stock

ISU Chemical financial ratios help investors to determine whether ISU Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ISU with respect to the benefits of owning ISU Chemical security.