Dongbu Insurance (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 107,553

005830 Stock   108,400  900.00  0.84%   
Dongbu Insurance's future price is the expected price of Dongbu Insurance instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dongbu Insurance Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dongbu Insurance Backtesting, Dongbu Insurance Valuation, Dongbu Insurance Correlation, Dongbu Insurance Hype Analysis, Dongbu Insurance Volatility, Dongbu Insurance History as well as Dongbu Insurance Performance.
  
Please specify Dongbu Insurance's target price for which you would like Dongbu Insurance odds to be computed.

Dongbu Insurance Target Price Odds to finish over 107,553

The tendency of Dongbu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 108,400 90 days 108,400 
about 79.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dongbu Insurance to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 79.6 (This Dongbu Insurance Co probability density function shows the probability of Dongbu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dongbu Insurance Co has a beta of -0.0979. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dongbu Insurance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dongbu Insurance Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dongbu Insurance Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Dongbu Insurance Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dongbu Insurance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dongbu Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
108,397108,400108,403
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
92,29292,295119,240
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
111,944111,947111,950
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
102,478108,229113,980
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dongbu Insurance. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dongbu Insurance's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dongbu Insurance's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dongbu Insurance.

Dongbu Insurance Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dongbu Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dongbu Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dongbu Insurance Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dongbu Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
4,587
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Dongbu Insurance Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dongbu Insurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dongbu Insurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dongbu Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Dongbu Insurance Technical Analysis

Dongbu Insurance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dongbu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dongbu Insurance Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dongbu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dongbu Insurance Predictive Forecast Models

Dongbu Insurance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dongbu Insurance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dongbu Insurance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dongbu Insurance

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dongbu Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dongbu Insurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dongbu Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Dongbu Stock

Dongbu Insurance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dongbu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dongbu with respect to the benefits of owning Dongbu Insurance security.