Kolon Globalco (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10,148

003070 Stock   10,150  590.00  5.49%   
Kolon Globalco's future price is the expected price of Kolon Globalco instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kolon Globalco performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kolon Globalco Backtesting, Kolon Globalco Valuation, Kolon Globalco Correlation, Kolon Globalco Hype Analysis, Kolon Globalco Volatility, Kolon Globalco History as well as Kolon Globalco Performance.
  
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Kolon Globalco Target Price Odds to finish below 10,148

The tendency of Kolon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 10,150 90 days 10,150 
about 76.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kolon Globalco to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 76.58 (This Kolon Globalco probability density function shows the probability of Kolon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kolon Globalco has a beta of -0.59. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kolon Globalco are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kolon Globalco is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kolon Globalco has an alpha of 0.1622, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kolon Globalco Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kolon Globalco

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kolon Globalco. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10,14610,15010,154
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8,4028,40611,165
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10,02810,03210,036
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8,4389,51410,591
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kolon Globalco. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kolon Globalco's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kolon Globalco's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kolon Globalco.

Kolon Globalco Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kolon Globalco is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kolon Globalco's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kolon Globalco, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kolon Globalco within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.59
σ
Overall volatility
576.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.0051

Kolon Globalco Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kolon Globalco for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kolon Globalco can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kolon Globalco had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Kolon Globalco Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kolon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kolon Globalco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kolon Globalco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25.4 M

Kolon Globalco Technical Analysis

Kolon Globalco's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kolon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kolon Globalco. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kolon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kolon Globalco Predictive Forecast Models

Kolon Globalco's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kolon Globalco's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kolon Globalco's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kolon Globalco

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kolon Globalco for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kolon Globalco help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kolon Globalco had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Kolon Stock

Kolon Globalco financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kolon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kolon with respect to the benefits of owning Kolon Globalco security.