DO Home (China) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.17

002798 Stock   4.34  0.17  3.77%   
DO Home's future price is the expected price of DO Home instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of DO Home Collection performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out DO Home Backtesting, DO Home Valuation, DO Home Correlation, DO Home Hype Analysis, DO Home Volatility, DO Home History as well as DO Home Performance.
  
Please specify DO Home's target price for which you would like DO Home odds to be computed.

DO Home Target Price Odds to finish over 4.17

The tendency of 002798 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  4.17  in 90 days
 4.34 90 days 4.17 
about 17.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DO Home to stay above  4.17  in 90 days from now is about 17.43 (This DO Home Collection probability density function shows the probability of 002798 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DO Home Collection price to stay between  4.17  and its current price of 4.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DO Home Collection has a beta of -0.34. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding DO Home are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, DO Home Collection is likely to outperform the market. Additionally DO Home Collection has an alpha of 0.56, implying that it can generate a 0.56 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   DO Home Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for DO Home

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DO Home Collection. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.954.347.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.674.067.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.074.477.86
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as DO Home. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against DO Home's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, DO Home's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in DO Home Collection.

DO Home Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DO Home is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DO Home's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DO Home Collection, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DO Home within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.56
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.34
σ
Overall volatility
0.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

DO Home Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DO Home for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DO Home Collection can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DO Home Collection appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
DO Home Collection has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 3.76 B. Net Loss for the year was (658.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 721.73 M.
About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

DO Home Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 002798 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DO Home's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DO Home's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding385 M
Cash And Short Term Investments711.7 M

DO Home Technical Analysis

DO Home's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 002798 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DO Home Collection. In general, you should focus on analyzing 002798 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

DO Home Predictive Forecast Models

DO Home's time-series forecasting models is one of many DO Home's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DO Home's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about DO Home Collection

Checking the ongoing alerts about DO Home for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DO Home Collection help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DO Home Collection appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
DO Home Collection has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 3.76 B. Net Loss for the year was (658.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 721.73 M.
About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in 002798 Stock

DO Home financial ratios help investors to determine whether 002798 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 002798 with respect to the benefits of owning DO Home security.