Chongqing Landai (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.15
| 002765 Stock | 10.73 0.05 0.46% |
Chongqing |
Chongqing Landai Target Price Odds to finish below 11.15
The tendency of Chongqing Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 11.15 after 90 days |
| 10.73 | 90 days | 11.15 | over 95.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chongqing Landai to stay under 11.15 after 90 days from now is over 95.38 (This Chongqing Landai Powertrain probability density function shows the probability of Chongqing Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chongqing Landai Pow price to stay between its current price of 10.73 and 11.15 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Chongqing Landai Powertrain has a beta of -0.44. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Chongqing Landai are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Chongqing Landai Powertrain is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Chongqing Landai Powertrain has an alpha of 1.3409, implying that it can generate a 1.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Chongqing Landai Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chongqing Landai
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chongqing Landai Pow. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chongqing Landai Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chongqing Landai is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chongqing Landai's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chongqing Landai Powertrain, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chongqing Landai within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.23 |
Chongqing Landai Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chongqing Landai for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chongqing Landai Pow can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chongqing Landai Pow is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Chongqing Landai Pow appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.81 B. Net Loss for the year was (365.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 507.73 M. | |
| About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Chongqing Landai Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chongqing Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chongqing Landai's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chongqing Landai's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 655.8 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 56.8 M |
Chongqing Landai Technical Analysis
Chongqing Landai's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chongqing Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chongqing Landai Powertrain. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chongqing Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chongqing Landai Predictive Forecast Models
Chongqing Landai's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chongqing Landai's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chongqing Landai's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chongqing Landai Pow
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chongqing Landai for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chongqing Landai Pow help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chongqing Landai Pow is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Chongqing Landai Pow appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.81 B. Net Loss for the year was (365.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 507.73 M. | |
| About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Chongqing Stock
Chongqing Landai financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chongqing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chongqing with respect to the benefits of owning Chongqing Landai security.