Zhejiang Construction (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.05

002761 Stock   9.41  0.13  1.40%   
Zhejiang Construction's future price is the expected price of Zhejiang Construction instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zhejiang Construction Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zhejiang Construction Backtesting, Zhejiang Construction Valuation, Zhejiang Construction Correlation, Zhejiang Construction Hype Analysis, Zhejiang Construction Volatility, Zhejiang Construction History as well as Zhejiang Construction Performance.
  
Please specify Zhejiang Construction's target price for which you would like Zhejiang Construction odds to be computed.

Zhejiang Construction Target Price Odds to finish below 8.05

The tendency of Zhejiang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  8.05  or more in 90 days
 9.41 90 days 8.05 
about 10.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zhejiang Construction to drop to  8.05  or more in 90 days from now is about 10.59 (This Zhejiang Construction Investment probability density function shows the probability of Zhejiang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zhejiang Construction price to stay between  8.05  and its current price of 9.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zhejiang Construction Investment has a beta of -0.44. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Zhejiang Construction are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Zhejiang Construction Investment is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Zhejiang Construction Investment has an alpha of 0.4553, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Zhejiang Construction Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zhejiang Construction

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zhejiang Construction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.349.4413.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.138.2312.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Zhejiang Construction. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Zhejiang Construction's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Zhejiang Construction's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Zhejiang Construction.

Zhejiang Construction Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zhejiang Construction is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zhejiang Construction's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zhejiang Construction Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zhejiang Construction within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.44
σ
Overall volatility
1.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Zhejiang Construction Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zhejiang Construction for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zhejiang Construction can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zhejiang Construction had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Zhejiang Construction has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Chen Wanlong completed the acquisition of Xinjiang Huatie Hengan Construction Safety Technology Co., Ltd from Zhejiang Huatie Construction Safety Science and Technology Co., Ltd. and Hangzhou Yuming Construction Equipment Co., Ltd. - Marketscreener.com

Zhejiang Construction Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zhejiang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zhejiang Construction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zhejiang Construction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B

Zhejiang Construction Technical Analysis

Zhejiang Construction's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zhejiang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zhejiang Construction Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zhejiang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zhejiang Construction Predictive Forecast Models

Zhejiang Construction's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zhejiang Construction's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zhejiang Construction's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zhejiang Construction

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zhejiang Construction for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zhejiang Construction help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zhejiang Construction had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Zhejiang Construction has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Chen Wanlong completed the acquisition of Xinjiang Huatie Hengan Construction Safety Technology Co., Ltd from Zhejiang Huatie Construction Safety Science and Technology Co., Ltd. and Hangzhou Yuming Construction Equipment Co., Ltd. - Marketscreener.com

Other Information on Investing in Zhejiang Stock

Zhejiang Construction financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zhejiang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zhejiang with respect to the benefits of owning Zhejiang Construction security.