Guangzhou Haige (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.15
| 002465 Stock | 12.30 0.26 2.07% |
Guangzhou |
Guangzhou Haige Target Price Odds to finish over 13.15
The tendency of Guangzhou Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 13.15 or more in 90 days |
| 12.30 | 90 days | 13.15 | nearly 4.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guangzhou Haige to move over 13.15 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.47 (This Guangzhou Haige Communications probability density function shows the probability of Guangzhou Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Guangzhou Haige Comm price to stay between its current price of 12.30 and 13.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Guangzhou Haige Communications has a beta of -0.047. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Guangzhou Haige are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Guangzhou Haige Communications is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Guangzhou Haige Communications has an alpha of 0.5112, implying that it can generate a 0.51 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Guangzhou Haige Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Guangzhou Haige
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guangzhou Haige Comm. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Guangzhou Haige Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guangzhou Haige is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guangzhou Haige's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guangzhou Haige Communications, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guangzhou Haige within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Guangzhou Haige Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guangzhou Haige for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guangzhou Haige Comm can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guangzhou Haige Comm appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Guangzhou Haige generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Guangzhou Haige Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Guangzhou Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Guangzhou Haige's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guangzhou Haige's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 B |
Guangzhou Haige Technical Analysis
Guangzhou Haige's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guangzhou Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guangzhou Haige Communications. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guangzhou Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Guangzhou Haige Predictive Forecast Models
Guangzhou Haige's time-series forecasting models is one of many Guangzhou Haige's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guangzhou Haige's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Guangzhou Haige Comm
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guangzhou Haige for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guangzhou Haige Comm help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Guangzhou Haige Comm appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Guangzhou Haige generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Guangzhou Stock
Guangzhou Haige financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guangzhou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guangzhou with respect to the benefits of owning Guangzhou Haige security.