Beijing Venustech (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.12

002439 Stock   16.92  0.47  2.70%   
Beijing Venustech's future price is the expected price of Beijing Venustech instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Beijing Venustech performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Beijing Venustech Backtesting, Beijing Venustech Valuation, Beijing Venustech Correlation, Beijing Venustech Hype Analysis, Beijing Venustech Volatility, Beijing Venustech History as well as Beijing Venustech Performance.
  
Please specify Beijing Venustech's target price for which you would like Beijing Venustech odds to be computed.

Beijing Venustech Target Price Odds to finish over 13.12

The tendency of Beijing Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  13.12  in 90 days
 16.92 90 days 13.12 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Beijing Venustech to stay above  13.12  in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Beijing Venustech probability density function shows the probability of Beijing Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Beijing Venustech price to stay between  13.12  and its current price of 16.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Beijing Venustech has a beta of 0.0388. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Beijing Venustech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Beijing Venustech will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Beijing Venustech has an alpha of 0.4647, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Beijing Venustech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Beijing Venustech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beijing Venustech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.4417.0120.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.0116.5820.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.0817.6621.23
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.060.110.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Beijing Venustech. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Beijing Venustech's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Beijing Venustech's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Beijing Venustech.

Beijing Venustech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Beijing Venustech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Beijing Venustech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Beijing Venustech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Beijing Venustech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.99
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Beijing Venustech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Beijing Venustech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Beijing Venustech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Beijing Venustech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Beijing Venustech generates negative cash flow from operations
About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Beijing Venustech Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Beijing Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Beijing Venustech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Beijing Venustech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments6.1 B

Beijing Venustech Technical Analysis

Beijing Venustech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Beijing Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Beijing Venustech. In general, you should focus on analyzing Beijing Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Beijing Venustech Predictive Forecast Models

Beijing Venustech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Beijing Venustech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Beijing Venustech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Beijing Venustech

Checking the ongoing alerts about Beijing Venustech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Beijing Venustech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Beijing Venustech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Beijing Venustech generates negative cash flow from operations
About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Beijing Stock

Beijing Venustech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Beijing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Beijing with respect to the benefits of owning Beijing Venustech security.