Luolai Home (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.21

002293 Stock   7.96  0.01  0.13%   
Luolai Home's future price is the expected price of Luolai Home instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Luolai Home Textile performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Luolai Home Backtesting, Luolai Home Valuation, Luolai Home Correlation, Luolai Home Hype Analysis, Luolai Home Volatility, Luolai Home History as well as Luolai Home Performance.
  
Please specify Luolai Home's target price for which you would like Luolai Home odds to be computed.

Luolai Home Target Price Odds to finish below 7.21

The tendency of Luolai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  7.21  or more in 90 days
 7.96 90 days 7.21 
about 26.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Luolai Home to drop to  7.21  or more in 90 days from now is about 26.83 (This Luolai Home Textile probability density function shows the probability of Luolai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Luolai Home Textile price to stay between  7.21  and its current price of 7.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.67 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Luolai Home has a beta of 0.32. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Luolai Home average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Luolai Home Textile will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Luolai Home Textile has an alpha of 0.4405, implying that it can generate a 0.44 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Luolai Home Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Luolai Home

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Luolai Home Textile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.557.9810.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.918.3410.77
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.140.140.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Luolai Home. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Luolai Home's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Luolai Home's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Luolai Home Textile.

Luolai Home Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Luolai Home is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Luolai Home's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Luolai Home Textile, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Luolai Home within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.70
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Luolai Home Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Luolai Home for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Luolai Home Textile can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Textile Home Decor Market Size, Share and Forecast By 2031 Top - openPR

Luolai Home Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Luolai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Luolai Home's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Luolai Home's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding837.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.2 B

Luolai Home Technical Analysis

Luolai Home's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Luolai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Luolai Home Textile. In general, you should focus on analyzing Luolai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Luolai Home Predictive Forecast Models

Luolai Home's time-series forecasting models is one of many Luolai Home's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Luolai Home's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Luolai Home Textile

Checking the ongoing alerts about Luolai Home for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Luolai Home Textile help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Textile Home Decor Market Size, Share and Forecast By 2031 Top - openPR

Other Information on Investing in Luolai Stock

Luolai Home financial ratios help investors to determine whether Luolai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Luolai with respect to the benefits of owning Luolai Home security.