GRG Banking (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.58
| 002152 Stock | 12.46 0.08 0.64% |
GRG |
GRG Banking Target Price Odds to finish below 11.58
The tendency of GRG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 11.58 or more in 90 days |
| 12.46 | 90 days | 11.58 | about 41.03 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GRG Banking to drop to 11.58 or more in 90 days from now is about 41.03 (This GRG Banking Equipment probability density function shows the probability of GRG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GRG Banking Equipment price to stay between 11.58 and its current price of 12.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GRG Banking Equipment has a beta of -0.34. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GRG Banking are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GRG Banking Equipment is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GRG Banking Equipment has an alpha of 0.4936, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GRG Banking Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GRG Banking
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GRG Banking Equipment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GRG Banking Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GRG Banking is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GRG Banking's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GRG Banking Equipment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GRG Banking within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
GRG Banking Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GRG Banking for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GRG Banking Equipment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GRG Banking appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For GRG Banking Equipment - Simply Wall St |
GRG Banking Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GRG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GRG Banking's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GRG Banking's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.9 B |
GRG Banking Technical Analysis
GRG Banking's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GRG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GRG Banking Equipment. In general, you should focus on analyzing GRG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GRG Banking Predictive Forecast Models
GRG Banking's time-series forecasting models is one of many GRG Banking's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GRG Banking's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GRG Banking Equipment
Checking the ongoing alerts about GRG Banking for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GRG Banking Equipment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GRG Banking appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For GRG Banking Equipment - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in GRG Stock
GRG Banking financial ratios help investors to determine whether GRG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GRG with respect to the benefits of owning GRG Banking security.