Dong Il (Korea) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31,794
| 001530 Stock | 51,200 200.00 0.39% |
Dong |
Dong Il Target Price Odds to finish below 31,794
The tendency of Dong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 51,200 | 90 days | 51,200 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dong Il to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Dong Il Corp probability density function shows the probability of Dong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dong Il has a beta of 0.22. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Dong Il average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dong Il Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dong Il Corp has an alpha of 0.8159, implying that it can generate a 0.82 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Dong Il Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Dong Il
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dong Il Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dong Il. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dong Il's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dong Il's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dong Il Corp.Dong Il Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dong Il is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dong Il's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dong Il Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dong Il within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.82 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5,962 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.30 |
Dong Il Technical Analysis
Dong Il's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dong Il Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dong Il Predictive Forecast Models
Dong Il's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dong Il's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dong Il's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Dong Il in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Dong Il's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Dong Il options trading.