Wuxi Chemical (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 28.26

001332 Stock   36.07  0.04  0.11%   
Wuxi Chemical's future price is the expected price of Wuxi Chemical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wuxi Chemical Equipment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wuxi Chemical Backtesting, Wuxi Chemical Valuation, Wuxi Chemical Correlation, Wuxi Chemical Hype Analysis, Wuxi Chemical Volatility, Wuxi Chemical History as well as Wuxi Chemical Performance.
  
Please specify Wuxi Chemical's target price for which you would like Wuxi Chemical odds to be computed.

Wuxi Chemical Target Price Odds to finish over 28.26

The tendency of Wuxi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  28.26  in 90 days
 36.07 90 days 28.26 
about 78.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wuxi Chemical to stay above  28.26  in 90 days from now is about 78.4 (This Wuxi Chemical Equipment probability density function shows the probability of Wuxi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wuxi Chemical Equipment price to stay between  28.26  and its current price of 36.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wuxi Chemical Equipment has a beta of -0.25. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Wuxi Chemical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Wuxi Chemical Equipment is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Wuxi Chemical Equipment has an alpha of 0.6153, implying that it can generate a 0.62 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Wuxi Chemical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wuxi Chemical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wuxi Chemical Equipment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.2236.0738.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.4128.2639.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.0336.8739.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.9534.4537.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wuxi Chemical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wuxi Chemical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wuxi Chemical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wuxi Chemical Equipment.

Wuxi Chemical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wuxi Chemical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wuxi Chemical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wuxi Chemical Equipment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wuxi Chemical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.62
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.25
σ
Overall volatility
3.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Wuxi Chemical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wuxi Chemical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wuxi Chemical Equipment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wuxi Chemical is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Wuxi Chemical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wuxi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wuxi Chemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wuxi Chemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding108 M

Wuxi Chemical Technical Analysis

Wuxi Chemical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wuxi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wuxi Chemical Equipment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wuxi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wuxi Chemical Predictive Forecast Models

Wuxi Chemical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wuxi Chemical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wuxi Chemical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wuxi Chemical Equipment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wuxi Chemical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wuxi Chemical Equipment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wuxi Chemical is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Wuxi Stock

Wuxi Chemical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wuxi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wuxi with respect to the benefits of owning Wuxi Chemical security.