Xinxiang Chemical (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.6
| 000949 Stock | 4.25 0.08 1.92% |
Xinxiang |
Xinxiang Chemical Target Price Odds to finish below 4.6
The tendency of Xinxiang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 4.60 after 90 days |
| 4.25 | 90 days | 4.60 | about 90.37 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xinxiang Chemical to stay under 4.60 after 90 days from now is about 90.37 (This Xinxiang Chemical Fiber probability density function shows the probability of Xinxiang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber price to stay between its current price of 4.25 and 4.60 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Xinxiang Chemical Fiber has a beta of -0.75. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Xinxiang Chemical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Xinxiang Chemical Fiber is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Xinxiang Chemical Fiber has an alpha of 0.5995, implying that it can generate a 0.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Xinxiang Chemical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Xinxiang Chemical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xinxiang Chemical Fiber. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Xinxiang Chemical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xinxiang Chemical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xinxiang Chemical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xinxiang Chemical Fiber, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xinxiang Chemical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Xinxiang Chemical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xinxiang Chemical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xinxiang Chemical Fiber can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Xinxiang Chemical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Xinxiang Chemical has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 7.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (42.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 154.87 M. | |
| About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Xinxiang Chemical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xinxiang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xinxiang Chemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xinxiang Chemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
Xinxiang Chemical Technical Analysis
Xinxiang Chemical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xinxiang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xinxiang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Xinxiang Chemical Predictive Forecast Models
Xinxiang Chemical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Xinxiang Chemical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xinxiang Chemical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Xinxiang Chemical Fiber
Checking the ongoing alerts about Xinxiang Chemical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xinxiang Chemical Fiber help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Xinxiang Chemical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Xinxiang Chemical has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 7.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (42.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 154.87 M. | |
| About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Xinxiang Stock
Xinxiang Chemical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xinxiang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xinxiang with respect to the benefits of owning Xinxiang Chemical security.