Jiangnan Mould (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.30

000700 Stock   7.75  0.03  0.39%   
Jiangnan Mould's future price is the expected price of Jiangnan Mould instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jiangnan Mould Plastic performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jiangnan Mould Backtesting, Jiangnan Mould Valuation, Jiangnan Mould Correlation, Jiangnan Mould Hype Analysis, Jiangnan Mould Volatility, Jiangnan Mould History as well as Jiangnan Mould Performance.
  
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Jiangnan Mould Target Price Odds to finish over 17.30

The tendency of Jiangnan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  17.30  or more in 90 days
 7.75 90 days 17.30 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jiangnan Mould to move over  17.30  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Jiangnan Mould Plastic probability density function shows the probability of Jiangnan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jiangnan Mould Plastic price to stay between its current price of  7.75  and  17.30  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jiangnan Mould Plastic has a beta of -0.32. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jiangnan Mould are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jiangnan Mould Plastic is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jiangnan Mould Plastic has an alpha of 0.5463, implying that it can generate a 0.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jiangnan Mould Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jiangnan Mould

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jiangnan Mould Plastic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.597.8011.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.328.5311.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.517.7210.94
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Jiangnan Mould Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jiangnan Mould is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jiangnan Mould's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jiangnan Mould Plastic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jiangnan Mould within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.85
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Jiangnan Mould Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jiangnan Mould for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jiangnan Mould Plastic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jiangnan Mould appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Three Undiscovered Gems with Promising Potential This December 2024 - Simply Wall St

Jiangnan Mould Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jiangnan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jiangnan Mould's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jiangnan Mould's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding918.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.8 B

Jiangnan Mould Technical Analysis

Jiangnan Mould's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jiangnan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jiangnan Mould Plastic. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jiangnan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jiangnan Mould Predictive Forecast Models

Jiangnan Mould's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jiangnan Mould's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jiangnan Mould's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jiangnan Mould Plastic

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jiangnan Mould for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jiangnan Mould Plastic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jiangnan Mould appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Three Undiscovered Gems with Promising Potential This December 2024 - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Jiangnan Stock

Jiangnan Mould financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jiangnan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jiangnan with respect to the benefits of owning Jiangnan Mould security.