Vanfund Urban (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.04
| 000638 Stock | 6.23 0.19 3.15% |
Vanfund |
Vanfund Urban Target Price Odds to finish below 0.04
The tendency of Vanfund Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.04 or more in 90 days |
| 6.23 | 90 days | 0.04 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanfund Urban to drop to 0.04 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vanfund Urban Investment probability density function shows the probability of Vanfund Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vanfund Urban Investment price to stay between 0.04 and its current price of 6.23 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vanfund Urban Investment has a beta of -0.53. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Vanfund Urban are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Vanfund Urban Investment is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Vanfund Urban Investment has an alpha of 0.8771, implying that it can generate a 0.88 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vanfund Urban Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vanfund Urban
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanfund Urban Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vanfund Urban Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanfund Urban is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanfund Urban's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanfund Urban Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanfund Urban within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.88 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
Vanfund Urban Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanfund Urban for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanfund Urban Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vanfund Urban appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 167.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 94.17 M. | |
| Vanfund Urban generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Exploring High Growth Tech Stocks with Strong Potential - Yahoo Finance |
Vanfund Urban Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vanfund Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vanfund Urban's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vanfund Urban's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 310.8 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29 M |
Vanfund Urban Technical Analysis
Vanfund Urban's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vanfund Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vanfund Urban Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vanfund Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vanfund Urban Predictive Forecast Models
Vanfund Urban's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vanfund Urban's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vanfund Urban's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vanfund Urban Investment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanfund Urban for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vanfund Urban Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vanfund Urban appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 167.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 94.17 M. | |
| Vanfund Urban generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Exploring High Growth Tech Stocks with Strong Potential - Yahoo Finance |
Other Information on Investing in Vanfund Stock
Vanfund Urban financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanfund Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanfund with respect to the benefits of owning Vanfund Urban security.