Jiaozuo Wanfang (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.87
| 000612 Stock | 7.15 0.01 0.14% |
Jiaozuo |
Jiaozuo Wanfang Target Price Odds to finish below 5.87
The tendency of Jiaozuo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 5.87 or more in 90 days |
| 7.15 | 90 days | 5.87 | about 18.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jiaozuo Wanfang to drop to 5.87 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.2 (This Jiaozuo Wanfang Aluminum probability density function shows the probability of Jiaozuo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jiaozuo Wanfang Aluminum price to stay between 5.87 and its current price of 7.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jiaozuo Wanfang Aluminum has a beta of -0.8. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jiaozuo Wanfang are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jiaozuo Wanfang Aluminum is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jiaozuo Wanfang Aluminum has an alpha of 0.5843, implying that it can generate a 0.58 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jiaozuo Wanfang Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jiaozuo Wanfang
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jiaozuo Wanfang Aluminum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jiaozuo Wanfang Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jiaozuo Wanfang is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jiaozuo Wanfang's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jiaozuo Wanfang Aluminum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jiaozuo Wanfang within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.58 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.8 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Jiaozuo Wanfang Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jiaozuo Wanfang for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jiaozuo Wanfang Aluminum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jiaozuo Wanfang appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Jiaozuo Wanfang is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 36.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: JiaoZuo WanFang Aluminum Manufacturing Co., Ltds last weeks 5.5 percent decline must have disappointed retail investors who have a significant stake - Simply Wall St |
Jiaozuo Wanfang Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jiaozuo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jiaozuo Wanfang's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jiaozuo Wanfang's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 B |
Jiaozuo Wanfang Technical Analysis
Jiaozuo Wanfang's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jiaozuo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jiaozuo Wanfang Aluminum. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jiaozuo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jiaozuo Wanfang Predictive Forecast Models
Jiaozuo Wanfang's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jiaozuo Wanfang's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jiaozuo Wanfang's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jiaozuo Wanfang Aluminum
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jiaozuo Wanfang for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jiaozuo Wanfang Aluminum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jiaozuo Wanfang appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Jiaozuo Wanfang is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 36.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: JiaoZuo WanFang Aluminum Manufacturing Co., Ltds last weeks 5.5 percent decline must have disappointed retail investors who have a significant stake - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Jiaozuo Stock
Jiaozuo Wanfang financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jiaozuo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jiaozuo with respect to the benefits of owning Jiaozuo Wanfang security.