Jointo Energy (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.25

000600 Stock   6.19  0.56  9.95%   
Jointo Energy's future price is the expected price of Jointo Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jointo Energy Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jointo Energy Backtesting, Jointo Energy Valuation, Jointo Energy Correlation, Jointo Energy Hype Analysis, Jointo Energy Volatility, Jointo Energy History as well as Jointo Energy Performance.
  
Please specify Jointo Energy's target price for which you would like Jointo Energy odds to be computed.

Jointo Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 5.25

The tendency of Jointo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  5.25  or more in 90 days
 6.19 90 days 5.25 
about 62.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jointo Energy to drop to  5.25  or more in 90 days from now is about 62.5 (This Jointo Energy Investment probability density function shows the probability of Jointo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jointo Energy Investment price to stay between  5.25  and its current price of 6.19 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jointo Energy Investment has a beta of -0.43. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jointo Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jointo Energy Investment is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jointo Energy Investment has an alpha of 0.441, implying that it can generate a 0.44 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jointo Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jointo Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jointo Energy Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.115.728.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.904.517.12
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.050.050.06
Details

Jointo Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jointo Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jointo Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jointo Energy Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jointo Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.43
σ
Overall volatility
0.34
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Jointo Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jointo Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jointo Energy Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Jointo Energy Investment Hebeis Returns On Capital - Simply Wall St

Jointo Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jointo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jointo Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jointo Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.8 B

Jointo Energy Technical Analysis

Jointo Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jointo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jointo Energy Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jointo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jointo Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Jointo Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jointo Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jointo Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jointo Energy Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jointo Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jointo Energy Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Jointo Energy Investment Hebeis Returns On Capital - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Jointo Stock

Jointo Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jointo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jointo with respect to the benefits of owning Jointo Energy security.