Zuora Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ZUODelisted Stock  USD 10.02  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Zuora Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 10.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.78. Zuora Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Zuora is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Zuora Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Zuora Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 21st of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Zuora Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 10.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.78.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zuora Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zuora's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Zuora Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zuora stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zuora stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.8369
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0129
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0013
SAESum of the absolute errors0.7845
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Zuora Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Zuora. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Zuora

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zuora Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Zuora's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.0210.0210.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.498.4911.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9.959.9910.03
Details

View Zuora Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Zuora Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zuora stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zuora shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Zuora stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Zuora Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

Other Consideration for investing in Zuora Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Zuora Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Zuora's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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