ZKB Gold Etf Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

ZGLD Etf  CHF 710.70  5.00  0.70%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ZKB Gold ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 711.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 316.81. ZKB Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for ZKB Gold works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

ZKB Gold Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ZKB Gold ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 711.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.28, mean absolute percentage error of 52.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 316.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ZKB Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ZKB Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ZKB Gold Etf Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ZKB Gold etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ZKB Gold etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.9794
MADMean absolute deviation5.2802
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0076
SAESum of the absolute errors316.8122
When ZKB Gold ETF prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any ZKB Gold ETF trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent ZKB Gold observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for ZKB Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ZKB Gold ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
709.74710.70711.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
649.25650.21781.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
694.00706.12718.24
Details

ZKB Gold Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ZKB Gold etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ZKB Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ZKB Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ZKB Gold Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ZKB Gold etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ZKB Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ZKB Gold etf market strength indicators, traders can identify ZKB Gold ETF entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ZKB Gold Risk Indicators

The analysis of ZKB Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ZKB Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zkb etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in ZKB Etf

ZKB Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether ZKB Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ZKB with respect to the benefits of owning ZKB Gold security.