Waste Management Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

W1MC34 Stock   663.68  15.03  2.21%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Waste Management on the next trading day is expected to be 675.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 660.40. Waste Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Waste Management stock prices and determine the direction of Waste Management's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Waste Management's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Waste Management is based on an artificially constructed time series of Waste Management daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Waste Management 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Waste Management on the next trading day is expected to be 675.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.46, mean absolute percentage error of 238.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 660.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Waste Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Waste Management's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Waste Management Stock Forecast Pattern

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Waste Management Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Waste Management's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Waste Management's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 674.39 and 677.29, respectively. We have considered Waste Management's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
663.68
674.39
Downside
675.84
Expected Value
677.29
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Waste Management stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Waste Management stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.8814
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -9.2984
MADMean absolute deviation12.4603
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0197
SAESum of the absolute errors660.3962
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Waste Management 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Waste Management

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Waste Management. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
662.23663.68665.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
530.27531.72730.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
531.79613.73695.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Waste Management. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Waste Management's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Waste Management's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Waste Management.

Other Forecasting Options for Waste Management

For every potential investor in Waste, whether a beginner or expert, Waste Management's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Waste Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Waste. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Waste Management's price trends.

Waste Management Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Waste Management stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Waste Management could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Waste Management by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Waste Management Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Waste Management's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Waste Management's current price.

Waste Management Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Waste Management stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Waste Management shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Waste Management stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Waste Management entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Waste Management Risk Indicators

The analysis of Waste Management's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Waste Management's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting waste stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Waste Stock

When determining whether Waste Management is a strong investment it is important to analyze Waste Management's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Waste Management's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Waste Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Waste Management to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Waste Stock refer to our How to Trade Waste Stock guide.
You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Waste Management's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Waste Management is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Waste Management's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.