Vertiv Holdings Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

VRT Stock  USD 127.60  0.66  0.52%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vertiv Holdings Co on the next trading day is expected to be 128.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 156.76. Vertiv Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Vertiv Holdings' Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to gain to 3.59 in 2024, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 4.30 in 2024. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 92.5 M in 2024, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 246.5 M in 2024.
Triple exponential smoothing for Vertiv Holdings - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Vertiv Holdings prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Vertiv Holdings price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Vertiv Holdings.

Vertiv Holdings Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vertiv Holdings Co on the next trading day is expected to be 128.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.66, mean absolute percentage error of 14.54, and the sum of the absolute errors of 156.76.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vertiv Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vertiv Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vertiv Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Vertiv Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Vertiv Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vertiv Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 124.86 and 131.42, respectively. We have considered Vertiv Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
127.60
124.86
Downside
128.14
Expected Value
131.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vertiv Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vertiv Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.6667
MADMean absolute deviation2.6569
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0237
SAESum of the absolute errors156.7597
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Vertiv Holdings observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Vertiv Holdings Co observations.

Predictive Modules for Vertiv Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vertiv Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
122.46125.74129.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
86.5089.78140.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
120.19132.90145.62
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
39.2143.0947.83
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Vertiv Holdings

For every potential investor in Vertiv, whether a beginner or expert, Vertiv Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vertiv Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vertiv. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vertiv Holdings' price trends.

Vertiv Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vertiv Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vertiv Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vertiv Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vertiv Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vertiv Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vertiv Holdings' current price.

Vertiv Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vertiv Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vertiv Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vertiv Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vertiv Holdings Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vertiv Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vertiv Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vertiv Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vertiv stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Vertiv Stock Analysis

When running Vertiv Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Vertiv Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vertiv Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Vertiv Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vertiv Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vertiv Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vertiv Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.