ETF Managers Etf Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| VALT Etf | USD 48.52 0.01 0.02% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ETF Managers Group on the next trading day is expected to be 48.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.38. ETF Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
ETF |
ETF Managers Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ETF Managers Group on the next trading day is expected to be 48.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.38.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ETF Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ETF Managers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ETF Managers Etf Forecast Pattern
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Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ETF Managers etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ETF Managers etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.8641 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0881 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0018 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.3771 |
Predictive Modules for ETF Managers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ETF Managers Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ETF Managers Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ETF Managers etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ETF Managers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ETF Managers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ETF Managers Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ETF Managers etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ETF Managers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ETF Managers etf market strength indicators, traders can identify ETF Managers Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ETF Managers Risk Indicators
The analysis of ETF Managers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ETF Managers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting etf etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.246 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2607 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.3488 | |||
| Variance | 0.1217 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1199 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.068 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.26) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Thematic Opportunities
Explore Investment Opportunities
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
The market value of ETF Managers Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ETF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ETF Managers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ETF Managers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ETF Managers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ETF Managers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ETF Managers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ETF Managers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ETF Managers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.