832248BD9 Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Triple exponential smoothing for 832248BD9 - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When 832248BD9 prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in 832248BD9 price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of SFD 2625 13.

832248BD9 Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SFD 2625 13 SEP 31 on the next trading day is expected to be 82.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.32.

832248BD9 Bond Forecast Pattern

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 832248BD9 bond data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 832248BD9 bond, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past 832248BD9 observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older SFD 2625 13 SEP 31 observations.

Predictive Modules for 832248BD9

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SFD 2625 13. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 82.27 82.80 83.33 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 82.08 82.61 83.14 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 832248BD9. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 832248BD9's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 832248BD9's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SFD 2625 13.

832248BD9 Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

832248BD9 Market Strength Events

832248BD9 Risk Indicators

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 832248BD9 Bond