Unit Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

UNTCW Stock  USD 0.37  0.00  0.00%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Unit Corporation on the next trading day is expected to be 0.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.63. Unit Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Unit Corporation is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Unit 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 21st of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Unit Corporation on the next trading day is expected to be 0.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Unit Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Unit's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Unit Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Unit pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Unit pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.7987
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0011
MADMean absolute deviation0.0637
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1241
SAESum of the absolute errors3.63
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Unit. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Unit Corporation and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Unit

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Unit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Unit's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.370.370.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.360.360.41
Details

Unit Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Unit pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Unit could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Unit by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Unit Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Unit pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Unit shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Unit pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Unit Corporation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Unit Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Unit's price analysis, check to measure Unit's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Unit is operating at the current time. Most of Unit's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Unit's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Unit's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Unit to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.