Union Chemicals Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

UCARN0000   696.25  4.50  0.64%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Union Chemicals Lanka on the next trading day is expected to be 696.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 13.98 and the sum of the absolute errors of 741.12. Union Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Union Chemicals stock prices and determine the direction of Union Chemicals Lanka's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Union Chemicals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Union Chemicals is based on an artificially constructed time series of Union Chemicals daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Union Chemicals 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Union Chemicals Lanka on the next trading day is expected to be 696.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 13.98, mean absolute percentage error of 352.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 741.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Union Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Union Chemicals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Union Chemicals Stock Forecast Pattern

Union Chemicals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Union Chemicals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Union Chemicals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 694.85 and 697.97, respectively. We have considered Union Chemicals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
696.25
694.85
Downside
696.41
Expected Value
697.97
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Union Chemicals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Union Chemicals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.273
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -8.6934
MADMean absolute deviation13.9835
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0208
SAESum of the absolute errors741.125
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Union Chemicals Lanka 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Union Chemicals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Union Chemicals Lanka. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
694.69696.25697.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
593.41594.97765.88
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Union Chemicals

For every potential investor in Union, whether a beginner or expert, Union Chemicals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Union Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Union. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Union Chemicals' price trends.

Union Chemicals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Union Chemicals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Union Chemicals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Union Chemicals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Union Chemicals Lanka Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Union Chemicals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Union Chemicals' current price.

Union Chemicals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Union Chemicals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Union Chemicals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Union Chemicals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Union Chemicals Lanka entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Union Chemicals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Union Chemicals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Union Chemicals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting union stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Other Information on Investing in Union Stock

Union Chemicals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Union Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Union with respect to the benefits of owning Union Chemicals security.