Grupo Televisa Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

TLEVISACPO  MXN 7.67  0.06  0.78%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Grupo Televisa SAB on the next trading day is expected to be 8.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.91. Grupo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Grupo Televisa stock prices and determine the direction of Grupo Televisa SAB's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Grupo Televisa's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Grupo Televisa SAB is based on a synthetically constructed Grupo Televisadaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Grupo Televisa 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Grupo Televisa SAB on the next trading day is expected to be 8.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58, mean absolute percentage error of 0.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.91.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Grupo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Grupo Televisa's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Grupo Televisa Stock Forecast Pattern

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Grupo Televisa Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Grupo Televisa's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Grupo Televisa's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.30 and 11.77, respectively. We have considered Grupo Televisa's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.67
8.03
Expected Value
11.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Grupo Televisa stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Grupo Televisa stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria80.5488
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.3842
MADMean absolute deviation0.5832
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0693
SAESum of the absolute errors23.911
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Grupo Televisa SAB 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Grupo Televisa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo Televisa SAB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.857.6711.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.076.8910.71
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Grupo Televisa

For every potential investor in Grupo, whether a beginner or expert, Grupo Televisa's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Grupo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Grupo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Grupo Televisa's price trends.

Grupo Televisa Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Grupo Televisa stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Grupo Televisa could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grupo Televisa by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Grupo Televisa SAB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Grupo Televisa's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Grupo Televisa's current price.

Grupo Televisa Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Grupo Televisa stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Grupo Televisa shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Grupo Televisa stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Grupo Televisa SAB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Grupo Televisa Risk Indicators

The analysis of Grupo Televisa's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Grupo Televisa's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting grupo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Grupo Stock

When determining whether Grupo Televisa SAB is a strong investment it is important to analyze Grupo Televisa's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Grupo Televisa's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Grupo Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Grupo Televisa to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grupo Televisa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grupo Televisa is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grupo Televisa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.