Transphorm Technology Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

TGANDelisted Stock  USD 5.10  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Transphorm Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 4.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.34. Transphorm Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Transphorm Technology polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Transphorm Technology as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Transphorm Technology Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Transphorm Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 4.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.34.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Transphorm Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Transphorm Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Transphorm Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Transphorm Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Transphorm Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.7725
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0548
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0112
SAESum of the absolute errors3.3402
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Transphorm Technology historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Transphorm Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Transphorm Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.105.105.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.264.265.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Transphorm Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Transphorm Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Transphorm Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Transphorm Technology.

Transphorm Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Transphorm Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Transphorm Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Transphorm Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Transphorm Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Transphorm Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Transphorm Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Transphorm Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Transphorm Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

Other Consideration for investing in Transphorm Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Transphorm Technology check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Transphorm Technology's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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