Tiaa Cref Mutual Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression

TEWCXDelisted Fund  USD 21.43  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Tiaa Cref Social Choice on the next trading day is expected to be 17.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.98. Tiaa Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Tiaa Cref polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Tiaa Cref Social Choice as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Tiaa Cref Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Tiaa Cref Social Choice on the next trading day is expected to be 22.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54, mean absolute percentage error of 0.47, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tiaa Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tiaa Cref's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tiaa Cref Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Tiaa CrefTiaa Cref Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tiaa Cref mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tiaa Cref mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.3613
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5365
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0237
SAESum of the absolute errors32.7284
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Tiaa Cref historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Tiaa Cref

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tiaa Cref Social. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tiaa Cref's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.4321.4321.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.2020.2023.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19.4422.1924.94
Details

Tiaa Cref Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tiaa Cref mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tiaa Cref could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tiaa Cref by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tiaa Cref Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tiaa Cref mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tiaa Cref shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tiaa Cref mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Tiaa Cref Social Choice entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

Other Consideration for investing in Tiaa Mutual Fund

If you are still planning to invest in Tiaa Cref Social check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Tiaa Cref's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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