Teqnion AB Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

TEQ Stock  SEK 169.20  1.00  0.59%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Teqnion AB on the next trading day is expected to be 168.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 101.66. Teqnion Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Teqnion AB - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Teqnion AB prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Teqnion AB price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Teqnion AB.

Teqnion AB Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Teqnion AB on the next trading day is expected to be 168.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.69, mean absolute percentage error of 4.86, and the sum of the absolute errors of 101.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Teqnion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Teqnion AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Teqnion AB Stock Forecast Pattern

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Teqnion AB Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Teqnion AB's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Teqnion AB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 167.29 and 169.61, respectively. We have considered Teqnion AB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
169.20
167.29
Downside
168.45
Expected Value
169.61
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Teqnion AB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Teqnion AB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.3552
MADMean absolute deviation1.6944
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0091
SAESum of the absolute errors101.6638
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Teqnion AB observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Teqnion AB observations.

Predictive Modules for Teqnion AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teqnion AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
168.04169.20170.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
167.46168.62169.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
164.52169.74174.96
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Teqnion AB

For every potential investor in Teqnion, whether a beginner or expert, Teqnion AB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Teqnion Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Teqnion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Teqnion AB's price trends.

Teqnion AB Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Teqnion AB stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Teqnion AB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Teqnion AB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Teqnion AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Teqnion AB's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Teqnion AB's current price.

Teqnion AB Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Teqnion AB stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Teqnion AB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Teqnion AB stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Teqnion AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Teqnion AB Risk Indicators

The analysis of Teqnion AB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Teqnion AB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting teqnion stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Teqnion Stock Analysis

When running Teqnion AB's price analysis, check to measure Teqnion AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Teqnion AB is operating at the current time. Most of Teqnion AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Teqnion AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Teqnion AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Teqnion AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.