Teradata Corp Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

TDC Stock  USD 30.90  0.03  0.1%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Teradata Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 30.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.19. Teradata Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Teradata Corp stock prices and determine the direction of Teradata Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Teradata Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Teradata Corp's Payables Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 1.19, whereas Receivables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 3.58. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 120.4 M, whereas Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is forecasted to decline to about 28.2 M.
A two period moving average forecast for Teradata Corp is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Teradata Corp Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Teradata Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 30.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.19.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Teradata Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Teradata Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Teradata Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

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Teradata Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Teradata Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Teradata Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.68 and 33.12, respectively. We have considered Teradata Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
30.90
30.90
Expected Value
33.12
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Teradata Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Teradata Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.7665
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0853
MADMean absolute deviation0.4365
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0145
SAESum of the absolute errors26.19
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Teradata Corp price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Teradata Corp. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Teradata Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teradata Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Teradata Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.7931.0133.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.8138.2340.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
28.7130.2931.88
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
55.0260.4667.11
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Teradata Corp

For every potential investor in Teradata, whether a beginner or expert, Teradata Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Teradata Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Teradata. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Teradata Corp's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Teradata Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Teradata Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Teradata Corp's current price.

Teradata Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Teradata Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Teradata Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Teradata Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Teradata Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Teradata Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Teradata Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Teradata Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting teradata stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Teradata Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Teradata Corp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Teradata Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Teradata Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teradata Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Teradata Stock refer to our How to Trade Teradata Stock guide.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Teradata Corp. If investors know Teradata will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Teradata Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.75
Earnings Share
0.85
Revenue Per Share
18.546
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.005
Return On Assets
0.078
The market value of Teradata Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Teradata that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Teradata Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Teradata Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Teradata Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Teradata Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Teradata Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Teradata Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Teradata Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.