Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SYIVOHYADKK | DKK 87.58 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sydinvest Virksomhedsobligationer HY on the next trading day is expected to be 87.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.28. Sydinvest Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Sydinvest |
Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sydinvest Virksomhedsobligationer HY on the next trading day is expected to be 87.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.28.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sydinvest Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig Fund Forecast Pattern
Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 87.33 and 87.80, respectively. We have considered Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.003 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0501 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1046 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0012 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.2777 |
Predictive Modules for Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig
For every potential investor in Sydinvest, whether a beginner or expert, Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sydinvest Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sydinvest. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig's price trends.Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig Technical and Predictive Analytics
The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Sydinvest Virksomhedsobligationer HY entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sydinvest fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1118 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2262 | |||
| Variance | 0.0511 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1643 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.02) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Sydinvest Fund
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Sydinvest Virksomhedsobligationer HY to buy it.
The correlation of Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Sydinvest Fund
Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sydinvest Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sydinvest with respect to the benefits of owning Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig security.
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