Slate Office Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SOT-UN Stock | CAD 0.45 0.02 4.26% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Slate Office REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 0.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.54. Slate Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Slate Office stock prices and determine the direction of Slate Office REIT's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Slate Office's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Slate |
Slate Office Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Slate Office REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 0.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.54.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Slate Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Slate Office's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Slate Office Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Slate Office | Slate Office Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Slate Office Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Slate Office's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Slate Office's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 8.99, respectively. We have considered Slate Office's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Slate Office stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Slate Office stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.0561 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0013 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0252 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0418 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.54 |
Predictive Modules for Slate Office
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Slate Office REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Slate Office's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Slate Office
For every potential investor in Slate, whether a beginner or expert, Slate Office's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Slate Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Slate. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Slate Office's price trends.Slate Office Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Slate Office stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Slate Office could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Slate Office by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Slate Office REIT Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Slate Office's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Slate Office's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Slate Office Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Slate Office stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Slate Office shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Slate Office stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Slate Office REIT entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 211.8 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (2.00) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.46 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.45 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.02) |
Slate Office Risk Indicators
The analysis of Slate Office's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Slate Office's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting slate stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.46 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.25 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.28 | |||
| Variance | 68.56 | |||
| Downside Variance | 34.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 18.04 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (7.68) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Slate Office
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Slate Office position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Slate Office will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Slate Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Slate Office could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Slate Office when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Slate Office - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Slate Office REIT to buy it.
The correlation of Slate Office is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Slate Office moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Slate Office REIT moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Slate Office can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Slate Stock
Slate Office financial ratios help investors to determine whether Slate Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Slate with respect to the benefits of owning Slate Office security.