Sonova H Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

SOON Stock  CHF 300.80  0.20  0.07%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sonova H Ag on the next trading day is expected to be 299.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 237.73. Sonova Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Sonova H works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Sonova H Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sonova H Ag on the next trading day is expected to be 299.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.03, mean absolute percentage error of 31.79, and the sum of the absolute errors of 237.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sonova Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sonova H's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sonova H Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sonova HSonova H Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Sonova H Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sonova H's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sonova H's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 297.88 and 301.16, respectively. We have considered Sonova H's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
300.80
297.88
Downside
299.52
Expected Value
301.16
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sonova H stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sonova H stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.5861
MADMean absolute deviation4.0294
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0129
SAESum of the absolute errors237.7318
When Sonova H Ag prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Sonova H Ag trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Sonova H observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Sonova H

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sonova H Ag. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
299.16300.80302.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
255.61257.25330.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
297.01303.73310.45
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Sonova H

For every potential investor in Sonova, whether a beginner or expert, Sonova H's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sonova Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sonova. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sonova H's price trends.

Sonova H Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sonova H stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sonova H could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sonova H by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sonova H Ag Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sonova H's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sonova H's current price.

Sonova H Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sonova H stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sonova H shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sonova H stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sonova H Ag entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sonova H Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sonova H's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sonova H's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sonova stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Sonova Stock Analysis

When running Sonova H's price analysis, check to measure Sonova H's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sonova H is operating at the current time. Most of Sonova H's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sonova H's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sonova H's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sonova H to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.