Samudera Indonesia Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average
| SMDR Stock | IDR 282.00 2.00 0.70% |
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Samudera Indonesia Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 282.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 409.75. Samudera Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Samudera |
Samudera Indonesia 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Samudera Indonesia Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 282.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.59, mean absolute percentage error of 112.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 409.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Samudera Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Samudera Indonesia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Samudera Indonesia Stock Forecast Pattern
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Samudera Indonesia Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Samudera Indonesia's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Samudera Indonesia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 280.93 and 284.07, respectively. We have considered Samudera Indonesia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Samudera Indonesia stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Samudera Indonesia stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.9716 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 4.5509 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 7.588 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0242 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 409.75 |
Predictive Modules for Samudera Indonesia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Samudera Indonesia Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Samudera Indonesia
For every potential investor in Samudera, whether a beginner or expert, Samudera Indonesia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Samudera Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Samudera. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Samudera Indonesia's price trends.Samudera Indonesia Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Samudera Indonesia stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Samudera Indonesia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Samudera Indonesia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Samudera Indonesia Tbk Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Samudera Indonesia's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Samudera Indonesia's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Samudera Indonesia Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Samudera Indonesia stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Samudera Indonesia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Samudera Indonesia stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Samudera Indonesia Tbk entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 228148.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.25) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 282.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 282.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.00) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.00) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 18.77 |
Samudera Indonesia Risk Indicators
The analysis of Samudera Indonesia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Samudera Indonesia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting samudera stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Variance | 2.48 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Samudera Indonesia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Samudera Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Samudera with respect to the benefits of owning Samudera Indonesia security.