ROC Energy Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ROCDelisted Stock  USD 5.09  1.89  27.08%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ROC Energy Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 6.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.10. ROC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ROC Energy stock prices and determine the direction of ROC Energy Acquisition's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ROC Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for ROC Energy is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of ROC Energy Acquisition value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

ROC Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ROC Energy Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 6.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ROC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ROC Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ROC Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest ROC EnergyROC Energy Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ROC Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ROC Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.7415
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3294
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0415
SAESum of the absolute errors20.0961
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of ROC Energy Acquisition. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict ROC Energy. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for ROC Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ROC Energy Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.095.095.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.844.845.60
Details

View ROC Energy Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

ROC Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ROC Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ROC Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ROC Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ROC Energy Acquisition entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ROC Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of ROC Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ROC Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting roc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.

Other Consideration for investing in ROC Stock

If you are still planning to invest in ROC Energy Acquisition check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the ROC Energy's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
ETF Categories
List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities