Starboard Investment Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

RHTX Etf  USD 16.90  0.06  0.35%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Starboard Investment Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 16.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.85. Starboard Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Starboard Investment is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Starboard Investment Trust value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Starboard Investment Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Starboard Investment Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 16.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.85.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Starboard Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Starboard Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Starboard Investment Etf Forecast Pattern

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Starboard Investment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Starboard Investment's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Starboard Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.12 and 17.63, respectively. We have considered Starboard Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.90
16.88
Expected Value
17.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Starboard Investment etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Starboard Investment etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.3072
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1266
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0077
SAESum of the absolute errors7.8468
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Starboard Investment Trust. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Starboard Investment. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Starboard Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Starboard Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Starboard Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.1516.9117.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.2117.7118.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
16.0116.6517.28
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Starboard Investment

For every potential investor in Starboard, whether a beginner or expert, Starboard Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Starboard Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Starboard. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Starboard Investment's price trends.

Starboard Investment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Starboard Investment etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Starboard Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Starboard Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Starboard Investment Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Starboard Investment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Starboard Investment's current price.

Starboard Investment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Starboard Investment etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Starboard Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Starboard Investment etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Starboard Investment Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Starboard Investment Risk Indicators

The analysis of Starboard Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Starboard Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting starboard etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Starboard Investment offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Starboard Investment's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Starboard Investment Trust Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Starboard Investment Trust Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Starboard Investment to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
The market value of Starboard Investment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Starboard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Starboard Investment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Starboard Investment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Starboard Investment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Starboard Investment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Starboard Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Starboard Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Starboard Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.