Regional Health Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

RHEDelisted Stock  USD 2.32  0.07  3.11%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Regional Health Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 2.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.66. Regional Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Regional Health stock prices and determine the direction of Regional Health Properties's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Regional Health's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Regional Health - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Regional Health prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Regional Health price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Regional Health Prop.

Regional Health Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Regional Health Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 2.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.1, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Regional Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Regional Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Regional Health Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Regional HealthRegional Health Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Regional Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Regional Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0683
MADMean absolute deviation0.1807
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0874
SAESum of the absolute errors10.6624
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Regional Health observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Regional Health Properties observations.

Predictive Modules for Regional Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regional Health Prop. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.8328.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.101.9228.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Regional Health. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Regional Health's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Regional Health's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Regional Health Prop.

View Regional Health Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Regional Health Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Regional Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Regional Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Regional Health stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Regional Health Properties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Regional Health Risk Indicators

The analysis of Regional Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Regional Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting regional stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

Other Consideration for investing in Regional Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Regional Health Prop check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Regional Health's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Bonds Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk