Reading International Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

RDIB Stock  USD 6.26  0.10  1.57%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Reading International B on the next trading day is expected to be 6.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.41. Reading Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Reading International stock prices and determine the direction of Reading International B's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Reading International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current year's Payables Turnover is expected to grow to 4.35, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 120.39. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 30.2 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 16 M.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Reading International B is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Reading International 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Reading International B on the next trading day is expected to be 6.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Reading Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Reading International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Reading International Stock Forecast Pattern

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Reading International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Reading International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Reading International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.30 and 12.32, respectively. We have considered Reading International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.26
6.31
Expected Value
12.32
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Reading International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Reading International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.6019
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1583
MADMean absolute deviation0.4107
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0535
SAESum of the absolute errors23.4075
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Reading International. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Reading International B and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Reading International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Reading International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.186.1912.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.136.1412.15
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Reading International

For every potential investor in Reading, whether a beginner or expert, Reading International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Reading Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Reading. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Reading International's price trends.

Reading International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Reading International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Reading International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Reading International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Reading International Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Reading International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Reading International's current price.

Reading International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Reading International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Reading International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Reading International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Reading International B entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Reading International Risk Indicators

The analysis of Reading International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Reading International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting reading stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Reading International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Reading International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Reading International B Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Reading International B Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Reading International to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Reading Stock refer to our How to Trade Reading Stock guide.
You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Reading International. If investors know Reading will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Reading International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.29)
Earnings Share
(1.88)
Revenue Per Share
9.128
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.28)
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of Reading International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Reading that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Reading International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Reading International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Reading International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Reading International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Reading International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Reading International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Reading International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.