Radiant Cash Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

RADIANTCMS   76.80  0.06  0.08%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Radiant Cash Management on the next trading day is expected to be 77.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.38. Radiant Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Radiant Cash's Other Current Liabilities is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Total Current Liabilities is likely to gain to about 630.3 M in 2024, whereas Total Stockholder Equity is likely to drop slightly above 1.6 B in 2024.
A naive forecasting model for Radiant Cash is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Radiant Cash Management value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Radiant Cash Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Radiant Cash Management on the next trading day is expected to be 77.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.15, mean absolute percentage error of 2.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.38.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Radiant Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Radiant Cash's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Radiant Cash Stock Forecast Pattern

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Radiant Cash Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Radiant Cash's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Radiant Cash's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 76.07 and 79.04, respectively. We have considered Radiant Cash's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
76.80
77.56
Expected Value
79.04
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Radiant Cash stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Radiant Cash stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.6698
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1514
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0148
SAESum of the absolute errors71.3847
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Radiant Cash Management. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Radiant Cash. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Radiant Cash

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Radiant Cash Management. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75.2676.7478.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.1377.6179.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
72.5475.3378.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Radiant Cash. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Radiant Cash's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Radiant Cash's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Radiant Cash Management.

Other Forecasting Options for Radiant Cash

For every potential investor in Radiant, whether a beginner or expert, Radiant Cash's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Radiant Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Radiant. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Radiant Cash's price trends.

Radiant Cash Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Radiant Cash stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Radiant Cash could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Radiant Cash by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Radiant Cash Management Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Radiant Cash's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Radiant Cash's current price.

Radiant Cash Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Radiant Cash stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Radiant Cash shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Radiant Cash stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Radiant Cash Management entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Radiant Cash Risk Indicators

The analysis of Radiant Cash's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Radiant Cash's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting radiant stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Radiant Stock Analysis

When running Radiant Cash's price analysis, check to measure Radiant Cash's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Radiant Cash is operating at the current time. Most of Radiant Cash's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Radiant Cash's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Radiant Cash's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Radiant Cash to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.