PacifiCorp Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

PPWLMDelisted Stock  USD 193.25  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PacifiCorp on the next trading day is expected to be -512,046 with a mean absolute deviation of 43,720 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,579,496. PacifiCorp Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for PacifiCorp - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When PacifiCorp prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in PacifiCorp price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of PacifiCorp.

PacifiCorp Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PacifiCorp on the next trading day is expected to be -512,046 with a mean absolute deviation of 43,720, mean absolute percentage error of 27,787,591,566, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,579,496.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PacifiCorp Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PacifiCorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PacifiCorp Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PacifiCorp pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PacifiCorp pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 18424.4101
MADMean absolute deviation43720.2786
MAPEMean absolute percentage error193.2176
SAESum of the absolute errors2579496.4354
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past PacifiCorp observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older PacifiCorp observations.

Predictive Modules for PacifiCorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PacifiCorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.06181.2619,506
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.18183.5919,509
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-115,809750,0481,615,906
Details

PacifiCorp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PacifiCorp pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PacifiCorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PacifiCorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PacifiCorp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PacifiCorp pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PacifiCorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PacifiCorp pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify PacifiCorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PacifiCorp Risk Indicators

The analysis of PacifiCorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PacifiCorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pacificorp pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Mean Deviation15440.26
Standard Deviation63683.54
Variance4.05559340428E9
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Consideration for investing in PacifiCorp Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in PacifiCorp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the PacifiCorp's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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