Kraken Robotics Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

PNG Stock  CAD 2.78  0.02  0.71%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kraken Robotics on the next trading day is expected to be 3.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.37. Kraken Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to climb to 4.64 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 1.14 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to climb to about 216.8 M in 2024, whereas Net Loss is likely to drop (3.3 M) in 2024.
A naive forecasting model for Kraken Robotics is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Kraken Robotics value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Kraken Robotics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kraken Robotics on the next trading day is expected to be 3.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.37.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kraken Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kraken Robotics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kraken Robotics Stock Forecast Pattern

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Kraken Robotics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kraken Robotics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kraken Robotics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 7.56, respectively. We have considered Kraken Robotics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.78
3.21
Expected Value
7.56
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kraken Robotics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kraken Robotics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.5404
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0866
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0419
SAESum of the absolute errors5.372
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Kraken Robotics. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Kraken Robotics. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Kraken Robotics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kraken Robotics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.877.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.526.87
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Kraken Robotics

For every potential investor in Kraken, whether a beginner or expert, Kraken Robotics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kraken Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kraken. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kraken Robotics' price trends.

Kraken Robotics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kraken Robotics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kraken Robotics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kraken Robotics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kraken Robotics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kraken Robotics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kraken Robotics' current price.

Kraken Robotics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kraken Robotics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kraken Robotics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kraken Robotics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kraken Robotics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kraken Robotics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kraken Robotics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kraken Robotics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kraken stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Kraken Stock Analysis

When running Kraken Robotics' price analysis, check to measure Kraken Robotics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kraken Robotics is operating at the current time. Most of Kraken Robotics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kraken Robotics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kraken Robotics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kraken Robotics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.