Palm Garden Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

PALMN0000  LKR 57.60  0.10  0.17%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Palm Garden Hotels on the next trading day is expected to be 56.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 80.95. Palm Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Palm Garden stock prices and determine the direction of Palm Garden Hotels's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Palm Garden's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Palm Garden Hotels is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Palm Garden 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Palm Garden Hotels on the next trading day is expected to be 56.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.42, mean absolute percentage error of 3.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 80.95.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Palm Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Palm Garden's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Palm Garden Stock Forecast Pattern

Palm Garden Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Palm Garden's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Palm Garden's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 54.15 and 59.30, respectively. We have considered Palm Garden's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
57.60
56.73
Expected Value
59.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Palm Garden stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Palm Garden stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.98
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.8447
MADMean absolute deviation1.4202
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0302
SAESum of the absolute errors80.95
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Palm Garden. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Palm Garden Hotels and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Palm Garden

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Palm Garden Hotels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
55.0257.6060.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.8747.4563.36
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Palm Garden

For every potential investor in Palm, whether a beginner or expert, Palm Garden's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Palm Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Palm. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Palm Garden's price trends.

Palm Garden Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Palm Garden stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Palm Garden could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Palm Garden by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Palm Garden Hotels Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Palm Garden's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Palm Garden's current price.

Palm Garden Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Palm Garden stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Palm Garden shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Palm Garden stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Palm Garden Hotels entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Palm Garden Risk Indicators

The analysis of Palm Garden's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Palm Garden's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting palm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Palm Stock

Palm Garden financial ratios help investors to determine whether Palm Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Palm with respect to the benefits of owning Palm Garden security.