Osmosis Crypto Coin Forecast - Naive Prediction

OSMO Crypto  USD 0.62  0.02  3.33%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Osmosis on the next trading day is expected to be 0.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.54. Osmosis Crypto Coin Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Osmosis crypto prices and determine the direction of Osmosis's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Osmosis' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Osmosis is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Osmosis value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Osmosis Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Osmosis on the next trading day is expected to be 0.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.54.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Osmosis Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Osmosis' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Osmosis Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern

Osmosis Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Osmosis' Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Osmosis' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.01, respectively. We have considered Osmosis' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.62
0.61
Expected Value
6.01
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Osmosis crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Osmosis crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.2604
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0253
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.049
SAESum of the absolute errors1.5407
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Osmosis. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Osmosis. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Osmosis

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Osmosis. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.626.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.575.97
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Osmosis

For every potential investor in Osmosis, whether a beginner or expert, Osmosis' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Osmosis Crypto Coin price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Osmosis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Osmosis' price trends.

Osmosis Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Osmosis crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Osmosis could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Osmosis by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Osmosis Technical and Predictive Analytics

The crypto coin market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Osmosis' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Osmosis' current price.

Osmosis Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Osmosis crypto coin reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Osmosis shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Osmosis crypto coin market strength indicators, traders can identify Osmosis entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Osmosis Risk Indicators

The analysis of Osmosis' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Osmosis' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting osmosis crypto coin prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Osmosis offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Osmosis' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Osmosis Crypto.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Osmosis to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Osmosis' coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine Osmosis value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, Osmosis' price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.