Nerdy Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

NRDY Stock  USD 1.60  0.10  5.88%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Nerdy Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.37. Nerdy Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Inventory Turnover is likely to drop to 10.73 in 2024. Payables Turnover is likely to drop to 10.65 in 2024. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 79 M in 2024. Net Loss is likely to drop to about (42.7 M) in 2024.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Nerdy price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Nerdy Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Nerdy Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.37.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nerdy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nerdy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nerdy Stock Forecast Pattern

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Nerdy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nerdy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nerdy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 6.80, respectively. We have considered Nerdy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.60
1.41
Expected Value
6.80
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nerdy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nerdy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.7361
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1536
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1459
SAESum of the absolute errors9.3675
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Nerdy Inc historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Nerdy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nerdy Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nerdy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.496.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.597.95
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.466.006.66
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nerdy

For every potential investor in Nerdy, whether a beginner or expert, Nerdy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nerdy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nerdy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nerdy's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nerdy Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nerdy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nerdy's current price.

Nerdy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nerdy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nerdy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nerdy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nerdy Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nerdy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nerdy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nerdy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nerdy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Tools for Nerdy Stock Analysis

When running Nerdy's price analysis, check to measure Nerdy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nerdy is operating at the current time. Most of Nerdy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nerdy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nerdy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nerdy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.