NRBO Old Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

NRBODelisted Stock  USD 1.89  0.11  5.50%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NRBO Old on the next trading day is expected to be 1.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.48. NRBO Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
NRBO Old simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for NRBO Old are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as NRBO Old prices get older.

NRBO Old Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NRBO Old on the next trading day is expected to be 1.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NRBO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NRBO Old's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NRBO Old Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NRBO Old stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NRBO Old stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.0346
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0113
MADMean absolute deviation0.0913
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0419
SAESum of the absolute errors5.48
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting NRBO Old forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent NRBO Old observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for NRBO Old

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NRBO Old. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.877.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.737.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NRBO Old. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NRBO Old's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NRBO Old's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NRBO Old.

View NRBO Old Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

NRBO Old Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NRBO Old stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NRBO Old shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NRBO Old stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NRBO Old entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

NRBO Old Risk Indicators

The analysis of NRBO Old's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NRBO Old's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nrbo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with NRBO Old

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if NRBO Old position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in NRBO Old will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against NRBO Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to NRBO Old could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace NRBO Old when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back NRBO Old - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling NRBO Old to buy it.
The correlation of NRBO Old is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as NRBO Old moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if NRBO Old moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for NRBO Old can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Other Consideration for investing in NRBO Stock

If you are still planning to invest in NRBO Old check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the NRBO Old's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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