Neometals Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

NMT Stock   3.50  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Neometals on the next trading day is expected to be 3.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.12. Neometals Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Neometals stock prices and determine the direction of Neometals's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Neometals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Neometals' Other Current Liabilities is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 3.7 M, whereas Net Debt is forecasted to decline to (4.7 M).
A two period moving average forecast for Neometals is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Neometals Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 19th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Neometals on the next trading day is expected to be 3.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Neometals Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Neometals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Neometals Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Neometals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Neometals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.8264
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0318
MADMean absolute deviation0.1038
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0312
SAESum of the absolute errors6.125
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Neometals price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Neometals. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Neometals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Neometals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.173.3410.54
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.153.0810.28
Details

Neometals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Neometals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Neometals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Neometals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Neometals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Neometals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Neometals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Neometals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Neometals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Neometals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Neometals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Neometals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting neometals stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Neometals Stock

Neometals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Neometals Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Neometals with respect to the benefits of owning Neometals security.