NEP Old Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

NEPDelisted Stock  USD 10.54  0.14  1.35%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of NEP Old on the next trading day is expected to be 15.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 84.04. NEP Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through NEP Old price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

NEP Old Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 21st of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of NEP Old on the next trading day is expected to be 15.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.38, mean absolute percentage error of 3.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 84.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NEP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NEP Old's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NEP Old Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest NEP OldNEP Old Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NEP Old stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NEP Old stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.2828
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.3777
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0925
SAESum of the absolute errors84.0416
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as NEP Old historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for NEP Old

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NEP Old. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NEP Old's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.5911.2116.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.3910.0115.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
8.6514.5520.45
Details

NEP Old Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NEP Old stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NEP Old could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NEP Old by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NEP Old Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NEP Old stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NEP Old shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NEP Old stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NEP Old entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

NEP Old Risk Indicators

The analysis of NEP Old's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NEP Old's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nep stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with NEP Old

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if NEP Old position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in NEP Old will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against NEP Stock

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  0.5ELRE Yinfu GoldPairCorr
  0.44CMSQF Computershare LimitedPairCorr
  0.41BSET Bassett FurniturePairCorr
  0.4CWPS Conwest Assoc PartPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to NEP Old could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace NEP Old when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back NEP Old - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling NEP Old to buy it.
The correlation of NEP Old is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as NEP Old moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if NEP Old moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for NEP Old can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.

Other Consideration for investing in NEP Stock

If you are still planning to invest in NEP Old check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the NEP Old's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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